Hypotheses, correlation, and cause&effect

Hypothesis 1: History repeats itself.

It is fall in a US election year. I am in North America, and dye my hair red. I meet someone. Bush wins the election, and that someone proceeds to be physically, but not intellectually unavailable to me.
(I'm pretty damn sure though that I will break at least part of this pattern in 2008. So god help us.)

Also, I've established correlation, but can someone help me with cause and effect here?

Hypothesis 2: Whenever I don't bother to go to class, it is either cancelled or would have sucked anyways.

Wait, that might be a truism.